Weak yenBank of Japan hikes rates to 31-year high to battle inflation

AFP
The bank's rate hike comes as it looks bring consumer prices under control
The bank's rate hike comes as it looks bring consumer prices under control
© AFP

The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a 31-year high on Friday and said it would lift them further as it looks to counter inflation fuelled by surging energy prices and a weak yen.

The 25-basis-point hike to 1.25 percent was expected by markets following the recent tightening by the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve, though the decision was not unanimous as it was carried by a 7-2 majority vote.

Pressure has increased on officials to further tighten monetary policy as a spike in oil prices caused by the Middle East crisis -- which shows little sign of ending anytime soon -- is expected to keep putting upward pressure on inflation.

"Given that underlying CPI inflation has been approaching two percent and financial conditions have been accommodative, the bank will continue to raise the policy interest rate," the BoJ said on its website.

BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda told a news conference that it was "important to stabilise the underlying inflation rate", avoiding a situation in which it surpassed the two percent target with an "adverse impact on the economy".

Central bankers are keeping tabs on movements in the yen, which fell to a 40-year low against the dollar in July, prompting a historic joint US-Japanese intervention in foreign exchange markets.

The unit has been weighed in particular by the wide gap between Japan's still low interest rates and those of the Federal Reserve, which encouraged investors to favour better-yielding dollar-denominated assets. 

Despite the hike to the highest level since 1995, which had been telegraphed for weeks, the yen weakened to more than 157 per dollar, compared with around 156.30 before the announcement.

"For a market looking for evidence that the BoJ could shorten the distance between hikes, those dissents mattered," said Stephen Innes at Quintex Intel.

"Traders were looking for signs that the Bank could move faster from here, yet two members were already arguing that even today's move had come too soon."

- Short-lived reprieve -

The cheap yen is driving up the cost of imported goods, which in turn is putting upward pressure on inflation.

Makiko Tsushima, a farmer from the northern region of Aomori, told AFP that she was "really wishing" for inflation to slow down.

"Prices are climbing. Casual shopping at a supermarket easily costs me 10,000 yen ($63) these days... Daily necessities like toilet paper and everything else are also expensive," the 54-year-old said.

Still, figures on Friday showed core inflation fell to 1.7 percent in August from 1.8 percent but remains close to the BoJ's two percent target.

The reading from the internal affairs ministry, which excludes volatile fresh food prices, was lower than forecasts for it to remain unchanged.

Government support for gasoline and electricity fees contributed to the slower pace of inflation, the data showed.

However, the reprieve could prove very short-lived for resource-poor Japan after energy and gas prices soared in recent weeks because of the Middle East crisis.

"Inflation was little changed in August but there are mounting signs that higher energy costs are feeding through and we expect it to rise above the BoJ's two percent target before long," said Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics.

The government is trying to mitigate the impact of inflation on household purchasing power, notably with a massive stimulus package adopted at the end of 2025, extensive tax breaks on energy, and measures adopted in the spring to support consumption. 

Tokyo also decided this week on a drastic two-year reduction in the consumption tax on food products, from eight percent to one percent starting in April 2027.

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