The major upheaval of the labour market has not yet happened in Luxembourg, but certain warning signs are concerning.
In a study on the impact of AI in the Grand Duchy, Statec notes that “the Luxembourgish labour market would be broadly exposed to artificial intelligence. More than 90% of workers could see their activities impacted by the development of AI.”
But it adds above all that “around 14% risk seeing their jobs automated by these technologies, potentially leading to job losses.” That still represents 64,000 positions potentially threatened by AI in Luxembourg.
Another study by Coface (Compagnie française d’assurance pour le commerce extérieur) shows that not all countries are equal when it comes to AI. Their work highlights that countries’ exposure to AI-driven automation varies considerably, ranging from around 12% of work tasks exposed to automation in Turkey to more than 21% in Luxembourg.
This is the highest rate observed in Europe. By comparison, with 16% of work content potentially automatable, France sits around the European average.
The study analyses 923 professions and finds that around one in eight crosses the threshold of 30% automatable tasks, a level which the study identifies as marking a profound transformation of a profession, “opening the way to potentially significant workforce redeployments, without necessarily signalling its disappearance”.
“The most exposed professions are concentrated in fields with high cognitive and informational intensity: engineering, computing, administrative functions, finance, law, and certain creative and analytical roles,” notes Coface.
Their study concludes that one in six jobs (around 5 million jobs in France) will be automatable within three to four years.
Certain “families of professions, such as law, finance and computing, are the most exposed,” explains Axelle Arquié, co-author of the study.
Luxembourg has a higher concentration of information-processing-intensive jobs, whereas countries where employment remains more oriented towards “retail, personal services, construction, transport or other more physically intensive activities show more moderate exposure,” the study notes.
Statec confirms that AI use is already very widespread in Luxembourg. In 2024, 24% of Luxembourgish companies were already using AI solutions, compared to 13.5% across the EU.
In Luxembourg, 56% of administrative support roles carry a risk of automation, whereas that figure falls to less than 2% for managers and intellectual professionals.
An analysis of AI exposure by nationality and place of residence reveals a greater threat for Luxembourg residents. Among those exposed, a quarter could potentially see their jobs automated by AI, compared to only 12% among foreign workers.
These differences are explained by the higher proportion of administrative support roles, which are more easily automatable, among Luxembourgish nationals compared to foreign workers.
Statec also identifies a higher replacement risk for women. “Although the rate of exposure to AI is identical for both sexes, the risk of automation is significantly higher for women. Indeed, 18% of them could see their jobs automated, compared to 11% of men.”
Ultimately, having a higher level of education provides greater protection: the proportion of automatable jobs decreases as the level of qualification rises.
